A Discussion on the Outlook for the U.S. Senate  ...1 of 1 >
Sept. 9, 2014 - With eight weeks to go until Election Day, the executive directors of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the National Republican Senatorial Committee participated in a discussion moderated by The Washington Post's Reid Wilson and organized by Center Forward, a group which seeks to encourage and advance centrist solutions.  Thirty-six Senate seats are up in 2014, 21 held by Democrats and 15 by Republicans.  Republicans need a net gain of six seats to gain control of the Senate, and observers increasingly are predicting they will achieve that goal. 
NRSC executive director Rob Collins said he was generally pleased with where Republicans find themselves.  He said that candidates haven't "blown up" as several did in 2012 and that "all of our incumbents are in pretty good shape."  Collins said geography and history favor the Republicans, if one looks at the seats that are up in 2014 and one considers President Obama's low popularity.  "The fundamentals have always been with us," Collins said; the question was, "could we find good candidates?"  He pointed to four candidates under 40 years old, eight candidates under 55, and four female candidates [Joni Ernst (IA), Terri Lynn Land (MI), Monica Wehby (OR) and Shelley Moore Capito (WV)].  Collins also said that although the NRSC will be outspent, it will have enough money to do its job.  He concluded by stating that while local issues and details matter, ultimately the national picture will tip the Senate to the Republicans.
DSCC executive director Guy Cecil noted that 2014 will be the third election cycle in which Republicans have sought to take back the majority.  He said that turnout and "a map that is dominated by Republican states" pose challenges for the Democrats.  Cecil said that much as Republicans try to play up national themes and tie candidates to President Obama, voters ultimately will be choosing between two candidates on their ballots.  He said Democrats hope to counter their midterm turnout problem by investing resources in a strong ground operation.  "There are real issues at stake," Cecil said.  "It won't just be a referendum on one person [Obama]."
Both Cecil and Collins seemed to agree on the need for some kind of campaign finance reform.  Cecil said that in some races only 25-percent of the ads aired come from the campaigns while the rest is from outside groups whose ads are overwhelmingly negative.  "The system we have now is broken," Cecil said.  "The only people that are benefitting are the people who own the TV stations," he said.
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