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Visits (2013-14)
rationale,
methodology
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limitations | page revised March 28, 2015
see also a later edition of this page: Visits Trhough 1st Q 15
see also a later edition of this page: Visits Trhough 1st Q 15
Visits to Key Early States in the Pre-Campaign Period...Nov. 7, 2012-Nov. 4, 2014
REPUBLICANS | DEMOCRATS
The Clinton Freeze
In the pre-campaign period there were many more active potential Republican presidential candidates than potential Democrats. All told, looking at total visits and total days, potential 2016 Republican presidential candidates put in a bit less than three times as much time in the three early states as potential Democrats. The difference is commonly attributed to Hillary Clinton's heavyweight status as likely nominee deterring Democratic prospects. This page has been revised to include several Republican prospects who were not included in the orginal Nov. 2014 draft: Bolton, Ehrlich, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham and Pataki.
Comparison of Visits and Days by Potential Rep. and Dem.Presidential Candidates to the Early States of IA, NH and SC
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Republicans |
62 |
83 |
51 |
64 |
37 |
45 |
150 |
192 |
| Democrats |
18 |
28 |
19 |
19 |
11 |
12 |
48 |
59 |
| Ratio |
3.44 |
2.96 |
2.68 |
3.37 |
3.27 |
3.66 |
3.13 |
3.25 |
REPUBLICANS
Most Active Potential Republicans
The most active potential Republican presidential candidates in terms of days spent in these three early states in the pre-campaign period were Perry (24), Paul (21), Cruz (20) and Santorum (19).
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Christie | 4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
11 |
| Cruz | 7 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
16 |
20 |
| Huckabee | 6 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
12 |
| Jindal | 4 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
12 |
16 |
| Paul | 5 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
15 |
21 |
| Perry | 8 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
13 |
24 |
| Rubio | 4 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
10 |
| Santorum | 8 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
14 |
19 |
_________
IowaGov. Perry spent the most time in state followed by former Sen. Santorum; next were Sen. Cruz and Sen. Paul.
| 2013-14 |
Carson |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
Paul |
Pence |
Perry |
Portman |
Ryan |
Rubio |
Santorum |
Walker |
| Visits:
62 |
1 |
4 |
7 | 2 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
8 |
1 |
| Days:
83 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
1 |
15 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
12 |
1 |
Tally does not include - Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days. Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Perry |
Cruz Santorum |
Huckabee Ryan Palin |
Perry |
Rubio Jindal Santorum Paul |
Christie Perry |
Cruz Rubio Paul Huckabee Huckabee Cruz Santorum Jindal Perry Carson |
Perry Pence Fiorina Cruz Jindal Ryan |
Portman Perry Christie Santorum Trump Huckabee Paul Santorum Graham Perry Christie Rubio Christie Fiorina |
Santorum |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Huckabee |
Paul Walker |
Paul Cruz |
Jindal Santorum Trump Cruz Brown |
Cruz |
Perry Palin Santorum Brown Huckabee Ryan |
2012
Nov.
Rubio
New Hampshire
New Hampshire numbers are a bit inflated by Rep. Pete King's visits.
| 2013-14 |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
King |
Paul |
Pence |
Perry |
Portman |
Rubio |
Ryan |
Santorum |
| Visits:
51 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 | 8 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
| Days:
64 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
5 | 10 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
Not included in tally: Scarborough 2 visits, 3 days. Romney 2 visits, 2 days.
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Trump |
Huckabee |
Santorum Gilmore Jindal Bolton Fiorina King |
Paul Cruz Huckabee Trump Cruz |
Rubio |
King Christie |
Christie |
King Perry Portman |
Gilmore Jindal Cruz Paul Ehrlich Christie Fiorina Jindal Huckabee |
Rubio Christie Portman Bolton Paul Pataki Fiorina Rubio Pence |
Christie |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Jindal Paul |
Portman |
King Cruz |
King King |
King Ryan |
Huntsman |
King |
South Carolina
Sen. Paul, Gov. Perry, Sen. Cruz and former Sen. Santorum spent the most time in the state.
| 2013-14 |
Bush |
Carson |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
Paul |
Perry |
Rubio |
Santorum |
Walker |
| Visits:
37 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
| Days:
45 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
7 |
2 |
6 |
1 |
Tally shows total visits with public events for 2013-14. Private visits not included in tally. Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently, Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014. Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Carson |
Santorum Cruz |
Huckabee |
Jindal Huckabee Santorum |
Perry |
Rubio Paul Perry |
Fiorina Cruz Christie Santorum Paul |
Jindal Cruz Rubio Bush Jindal |
Christie Carson |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Paul |
Santorum |
Huckabee |
Cruz Santorum |
Paul |
Jindal Perry Walker Huntsman Paul |
Cruz Paul |
Perry |
DEMOCRATS
Most active potential candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination in the pre-campaign period in terms of days spent in the three early states were Sanders, O'Malley and Biden.
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Biden | 3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
9 |
9 |
| O'Malley | 4 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
13 |
16 |
| Sanders | 3 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
13 |
18 |
_________
IowaO'Malley and Sanders put in the most time.
| 2013-14 |
Biden |
Clinton |
Dean |
Klobuchar |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
Schweitzer |
Webb |
| Visits:
18 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 | 4 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
| Days:
28 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Sanders |
O'Malley |
O'Malley |
Webb Klobuchar |
O'Malley Sanders Clinton Biden |
Sanders O'Malley Klobuchar Biden Clinton |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Klobuchar Dean |
Biden |
Schweitzer |
New Hampshire
Sanders and O'Malley were most active.
| 2013-14 |
Biden |
Clinton |
Dean |
Klobuchar |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
Webb |
||
| Visits:
19 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
1 |
||
| Days:
19 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
1 |
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Biden |
Dean Sanders |
O'Malley Sanders |
O'Malley Klobuchar |
Sanders Biden O'Malley Sanders |
Sanders Webb Sanders Sanders O'Malley |
Clinton |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Dean |
O'Malley |
South Carolina
Only Biden, O'Malley and Sanders.
| 2013-14 |
Biden |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
|||||||
| Visits:
11 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|||||||
| Days:
12 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
2014
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| Sanders |
Biden O'Malley |
Sanders |
O'Malley |
Biden | O'Malley |
2013
| Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May |
Jun. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Dec. |
| O'Malley |
Biden |
Biden |
Sanders |
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