Visits to Key Early States Through 1st Q 2015 (March 31, 2015)

 


Iowa

New Hampshire

South Carolina

Nov. 7, 2012-
Mar. 31, 2015

R
99 visits
141 days

80 visits
113 days

60 visits
73 days










D
22 visits
36 days

24 visits
25 days

13 visits
14 days


Nov. 7, 2012-Nov. 4, 2014  |  1st Q 2015 2nd Q 2015
REPUBLICANS  |  DEMOCRATS
Republican Activity Dominates
(March 31, 2015) - At this point the Republican field seems wide open.  There is one declared (Cruz-03/23), one exploratory (Carson-03/02), one testing the waters (Graham-01/29) candidate and more than a dozen potential candidates.  On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton's heavyweight status as the likely nominee has frozen activity by all but a few alternative prospects. The result has been about four times as much activity on the Republican side as on the Democratic side in these three early states.

Comparison of Visits and Days by Potential Rep. and Dem. Presidential Candidates to Early States of IA, NH and SC

IA-Visits
IA-Days
NH-Visits
NH-Days
SC-Visits
SC-Days
Total Visits
Total Days
Republicans
99
141
80
113
60
73
239
327
Democrats
22
36
24
25
14
15
60
76
Ratio R:D
4.50
3.92
3.33
4.52
4.29
4.87
3.98
4.30

REPUBLICANS - 1ST QUARTER 2015
The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the 1st Quarter of 2015 was Rick Perry.

IA-Visits
IA-Days
NH-Visits
NH-Days
SC-Visits
SC-Days
Total Visits
Total Days
Bolton
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
Bush
1
2
1
2
1
2
3
6
Carson
1
1
-
-
1
1
2
2
Christie 4
4
1
1
1
1
6
6
Cruz 2
4
2
4
2
2
6
10
Fiorina
2
5
2
2
-
-
4
7
Gilmore
1
1
3
6
-
-
4
7
Graham
3
5
2
3
**
**
5
8
Huckabee 4
5
-
-
2
3
6
8
Jindal 2
2
-
-
1
1
3
3
Kasich
-
-
1
2
1
2
2
4
Pataki 1
1
4
8
-
-
5
9
Paul 1
2
2
3
-
-
3
5
Perry 4
8
2
4
2
3
8
15
Rubio 1
1
1
2
2
2
4
5
Santorum 3
8
-
-
3
3
6
11
Trump
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
5
Walker
2
3
1
2
1
2
4
7
Others
1
1
1
2
-
-
2
3
Total
35
56
25
43
20
25
80
124
IA Others: Palin 1 visit (1 day).  NH Others: Ehrlich 1 visit (2 days)

REPUBLICANS - TOTALS TO DATE
The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the pre-campaign period were former Gov. Rick Perry (43), Sen. Ted Cruz and former Sen. Rick Santorum (30) and Sen. Rand Paul (26).

IA-Visits
IA-Days
NH-Visits
NH-Days
SC-Visits
SC-Days
Total Visits
Total Days
Bolton
1
1
3
3
1
1
5
5
Bush
1
2
1
2
3
4
5
8
Carson
3
4
-
-
3
3
6
7
Christie 8
8
6
6
3
3
17 17
Cruz 9
12
6
10
7
8
22 30
Fiorina
4
8
7
8
1
1
12
17
Gilmore
1
1
5
8
-
-
6
9
Graham
4
6
2
3
*
*
6*
9*
Huckabee 10
11
3
3
5
6
18 20
Jindal 7
9
4
5
5 6 16 20
Kasich
-
-
1
2
1
2
2
4
Pataki
1
1
6
13
1
1
8
15
Paul 6
10
6
9
6
7
18
26
Pence
1
1
1
1
-
-
2
2
Perry 12
23
4
8
7
12
23 43
Rubio 5
6
4
5
4
4
13 15
Santorum 11
20
1
1
8
9
20 30
Trump
3
4
3
3
2
2
8
9
Walker
3
4
1
2
2
3
6
9
Others
9
10
16
21
1
1
26
32
Total
99
141
80
113
60
73
239
327
Others includes potential candidates who are not running and potential candidates who have only visited one of the three states.
Iowa others: Brown 2 visits, 2 days; Portman 1 visit, 2 days; Palin 3 visits, 3 days; Ryan 3 visits, 3 days.
NH others: Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; Portman 3 visits, 4 days; Ryan 1 visit, 1 day; Ehrlich 3 visits, 5 days, King 8 visits, 10 days.
SC others: Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day.

IOWA
Republican Visits to Iowa in 1st Quarter 2015 Compare 2011
January
S
M
T
W
F
S
.


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
3
24
12
25
3
26
2
27
28
29
30
31
Bolton: Jan. 24
Carson: Jan. 24
Christie: Jan. 16, Jan. 24
Cruz: Jan. 24
Fiorina: Jan. 22-24
Gilmore: Jan. 24
Huckabee: Jan. 24, Jan. 25
Jindal: Jan. 6
Palin: Jan. 24
Perry: Jan. 24-26
Santorum: Jan. 23-27
Trump: Jan. 23-24
Walker: Jan. 24
Total: 15 visits (24 days).

February
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28




. . .
Christie: Feb. 9
Graham: Feb. 19-20
Paul: Feb. 6-7
Perry: Feb. 16
Rubio: Feb. 13
Total: 5 visits (7 days).

March
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
2
7
9
8
2
9
2
10
11

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31


. . .
Bush: Mar. 6-7
Christie: Mar. 7
Cruz: Mar. 7-9
Fiorina: Mar. 13-14
Graham: Mar. 7, Mar. 27-28
Huckabee: Mar. 7, Mar. 18-19
Jindal: Mar. 9
Pataki: Mar. 7
Perry: Mar. 6-7, Mar. 19-20
Santorum: Mar. 7, Mar. 23-24
Walker: Mar. 7-8
Total: 15 visits (25 days).


1st Q 15: 35 visits (56 days).
Top visitors in the quarter in terms of number of days werre former Gov. Perry and former Sen. Santorum.

Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)
2013-15
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
Trump
Visits: 99
1
3
8
9 4
4
10
7
6
12
5
11
3 3
Days: 141
2
4
8
12
8
6
11
9
10
23
6
20
4 4
Tally includes - Brown: 2 visits, 2 days; Portman 1 visit, 2 days; Ryan 3 visits, 3 days; Palin: 3 visits, 3 days; Pence: 1 visit, 1 day;
Bolton 1 visit, 1 day; Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day; Pataki 1 visit, 1 day.

Tally does not include
- Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days.  Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
___________________________

Republican Visits to New Hampshire in 1st Quarter 2015  Compare 2011
January
S
M
T
W
F
S
.


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Gilmore: Jan. 29-30
Pataki: Jan. 11-12
Paul: Jan. 14
Total: 3 visits (5 days).

February
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
2
24
3
25
26
27
28




. . .
Bolton: Feb. 20
Christie: Feb. 16
Ehrlich: Feb. 23-24
Fiorina: Feb. 10
Gilmore: Feb. 26-27
Pataki: Feb. 3-4, Feb. 24-25
Perry: Feb. 11-12
Rubio: Feb. 23-24
Total: 9 visits (15 days).

March
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

12
2
13
4
14
2
15
16
2
17
2
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31


. . .
Bush: Mar. 13-14
Cruz: Mar. 15-16, Mar. 27-28
Fiorina: Mar. 7
Gilmore: Mar. 12-13
Graham: Mar. 8-9, Mar. 17
Kasich: Mar. 23-24
Pataki: Mar. 16-17
Paul: Mar. 20-21
Perry: Mar. 12-13
Trump: Mar. 19
Walker: Mar. 13-14
Total: 13 visits (23 days).

1st Q 15: 25 visits (43 days).
Former Govs. Pataki (8 days) and Gilmore (6 days) spent the most time in the state in the 1st Quarter.

Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)

2013-15
Bush
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
King
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
Visits: 79
1
6
5
7
2
3
4 8
6
6
4
4
1
1
Days: 111
2
6
8
8
3
3
5 10
13
9
8
5
1
2
Tally includes - Portman 3 visits, 4 days; Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; Ryan 1 visit, 1 day; Pence 1 visit, 1 day; Trump 3 visits, 3 days; Kasich 1 visit, 2 days; Bolton 3 visits, 3 days; Ehrlich 3 visits, 5 days; Gilmore 5 visits, 8 days.
Not included in tally: Scarborough 2 visits, 3 days.  Romney 2 visits, 2 days
.
___________________________
Republican Visits to South Carolina in 1st Quarter 2015  Compare 2011
January
S
M
T
W
F
S
.


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
19
3
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Carson: Jan. 18
Christie
: Jan. 14
Cruz: Jan. 18
Huckabee: Jan. 29-30
Perry: Jan. 27
Rubio: Jan. 19
Santorum: Jan. 19
Trump: Jan. 19
Total: 8 visits (9 days).

February
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2
20
21
22
2
23

24

25
26
27
28




. . .
Huckabee: Feb. 27
Kasich
: Feb. 18-19
Rubio: Feb. 19
Santorum: Feb. 22
Trump: Feb. 22
Total: 5 visits (6 days).

March
S
M
T
W
F
S
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

12
13
14
3
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31


. . .
Bush: Mar. 17-18
Bolton
: Mar. 14
Cruz
: Mar. 14
Jindal
: Mar. 3
Perry
: Mar. 10-11
Santorum
: Mar. 14
Walker:
Mar. 19-20
Total: 7 visits (10 days).

1st Q 15: 20 visits (25 days).
No one stands out in terms of 1st Quarter visits to South Carolina.  The effect of homestate Sen. Graham's possible campaign on travel by other prospects to South Carolina is not clear.

Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)

2013-15
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Huckabee
Jindal
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
Trump
Visits: 60
3
3
3
7
1
5
5
6
7
4
8
2
2
Days: 73
4
3
3
8
1
6
6
7
12
4
9
3
2
Tally includes: Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; Pataki 1 visit, 1 day; Kasich 1 visit, 2 days; Bolton 1 visit, 1 day.
*Graham is not included in the tally.  Private visits not included in tally.  Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently.  Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014.  Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.





DEMOCRATS - TOTALS TO DATE
Most active potential candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination through the first quarter in terms of visits and days spent in the three early states were Sanders, O'Malley and Biden.

IA-Visits
IA-Days
NH-Visits
NH-Days
SC-Visits
SC-Days
Total Visits
Total Days
Biden 4
4
3
3
5
5
12
12
Clinton
2
2
1
1
-
-
3
3
O'Malley 5
9
7
8
5
5
17
22
Sanders 5
12
9
9
3
4
17
25
Webb
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
5
Others
5
6
3
3
-
-
8
9
Total
22
36
24
25
14
15
60
76
Iowa others: Dean 1 visit, 1 day; Klobuchar 3 visits, 4 days; Schweitzer 1 visit, 1 day.
NH others: Dean 2 visits, 2 visits, Klobuchar 1 visit, 1 day.


Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)  ...O'Malley and Sanders put in the most time.
2013-15
Biden
Clinton
Dean
Klobuchar
O'Malley
Sanders
Schweitzer
Webb
Visits: 22
4
2
1
3 5
5
1
1
Days: 36
4
2
1
4
9
12
1
3

2015
Mar. 20-21  O'Malley: Davenport, Tipton, Council Bluffs.
Feb. 19-21
  Sanders: Iowa City, Des Moines, Johnston, Cedar Rapids, Tipton, Ames.
Feb. 12  Biden: Des Moines.

2014
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.




Sanders
O'Malley
O'Malley
Webb
Klobuchar
O'Malley
Sanders
Clinton
Biden
Sanders
O'Malley
Klobuchar
Biden
Clinton

Sanders

2013
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.







Klobuchar
Dean
Biden


Schweitzer


Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)  ...Sanders and O'Malley were most active.
2013-15
Biden
Clinton
Dean
Klobuchar
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb


Visits: 25
3
1
2
1
7
10
1


Days: 26
3
1
2
1
8
10
1



2015
Mar. 31  O'Malley: Bedford, Nashua.
Mar. 16  Sanders: Concord, Manchester.
Mar. 6-7  O'Malley: Concord, Manchester.
Feb. 25  Biden: Concord, Manchester.
Jan. 31  Sanders: Concord.

2014

Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.


Biden
Dean
Sanders

O'Malley
Sanders

O'Malley
Klobuchar
Sanders
Biden
O'Malley
Sanders
Sanders
Webb
Sanders
Sanders
O'Malley
Clinton


2013
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.








Dean

O'Malley



Totals at End of the 1st Quarter (March 31, 2015)   ...Only Biden, O'Malley and Sanders.
2013-15
Biden
O'Malley
Sanders
Webb






Visits: 14
5
5
3
1






Days: 15
5
5
4
1*






Vice President Joe Biden's vacations at Kiawah Island on March 29-April 2, 2013 and May 31-June 3, 2014 not included.
*Seeking clarification on whether 1 or 2 days; counting as 1 for now -ed.

2015
Mar. 18-19  Webb: Columbia.
Feb. 28  O'Malley: Myrtle Beach.

Feb. 18  Biden: Charleston, Columbia.

2014

Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.



Sanders
Biden
O'Malley


Sanders
O'Malley
Biden O'Malley

2013

Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.


O'Malley

Biden



Biden
Sanders



  this page last revised July 3, 2015
  
    

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