Visits to Key Early States Through 2nd Q 2015 (June 30, 2015)

 


Iowa
New Hampshire
South Carolina
Nov. 7, 2012-
Jun. 30, 2015
 R
 162 visits
  240 days
150.5 visits
226 days
104 visits
134 days









D
 36 visits
65 days
48 visits
52 days
20 visits
23 days

Nov. 7, 2012-Nov. 4, 2014  |  1st Q 2015  |: 2nd Q 2015  |: 3rd Q 2015
REPUBLICANS  |  DEMOCRATS
Activity Picks Up; Republicans Continue to Dominate
(June 30, 2015) - During this three-month period, the field included declared, exploratory, testing the waters and potential candidates, but by June 30 most of the candidates formally announced their candidacies.  The Republican and Democratic campaigns were just about fully engaged with 14 declared Republican candidates (Kasich and Walker yet to announce) and four candidates seeking the Democratic nomination (Webb still exploratory).  Not surprisingly, looking at these three early states one sees four times as many visits and days campaigning by Republican candidates compared to Democrats.

Comparison of Visits and Days by Potential Rep. and Dem. Presidential Candidates to Early States of IA, NH and SC

IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Republicans
 162
 240
 150.5
 226
 104
 134
 416.5
 600
Democrats
 36
 65
 48
 52
 20
 23
 104
 140
Ratio R:D
 4.50
 3.69
 3.14
 4.35
 5.2
 5.8
 4.00
 4.29

REPUBLICANS - 2ND QUARTER 2015
The number of visits and days spent in these three early states by Republican prospects has more than doubled compared to the 1st Quarter 2015 (total visits went from 80 to 176.5 and days from 124 to 271).  The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the 2nd Quarter 2015 (April 1- June 30) were Santorum, Fiorina, Perry, Carson and Huckabee.  Rubio stood out for doing the least travel to the three states in this period.

IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Bush
 2
 2
 4
 6
 2
 2
 8
 10
Carson
 5
 9
 3
 4
 3
 6
 11
 19
Christie 1
 2
 8.5
 14
 1
 2
 10.5 18
Cruz 5
 8
 2
 4
 3
 5
 10
 17
Ehrlich
 -
 -
 5
 5
 -
 -
 5
 5
Fiorina
 4
 8
 5
 12
 3
 3
 12
 23
Gilmore
 -
 -
 4
 9
 -
 -
 4
 9
Graham
 4
 6
 5
 9
 **
 **
 9*
 15*
Huckabee 7.5
 12
 1
 1
 5
 6
 13.5 19
Jindal 6.5
 8
 3
 3
 2
 3
 11.5
 14
Kasich
 1
 1
 4
 5
 3
 4
 8
 10
Pataki 1
 1
 6
 12
 1
 2
 8 15
Paul
 4
 6
 4
 7
 3
 4
 11
 17
Perry 4
 8*
 3
 5
 4
 7
 11
 20
Rubio 2
 2
 2
 2
 1
 1
 5 5
Santorum 6
 12
 1
 1
 8
 11
 15 24
Trump
 6
 8
 5
 5
 3
 3
 14
 16
Walker
 4
 6
 2
 4
 1
 1
 7
 11
Others
 -
 -
 2
 3
 1
 1
 3
 4
Total
 63
 99
 69.5
 111
 44
 61
 176.5
 271
Perry total of 8 days does not include personal day on May 17.
NH Others:  Bolton 1 visit, 3 days, King 1 visit, 1 day.  SC Others: Bolton 1 visit, 1 day


IOWA
Republican Visits to Iowa in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
 7
8
3
9
6
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
2
22
23
24
5
25
10
26

27

28
29
30

Cruz: Apr. 1-2, Apr. 9, Apr. 25
Fiorina: Apr. 21-25
Graham: Apr. 24-25
Huckabee: Apr. 9, Apr. 25
Jindal: Apr. 3, Apr. 9, Apr. 24-25
Paul: Apr. 9-10, Apr. 24-25
Perry: Apr. 8-9, Apr. 25
Rubio: Apr. 25
Santorum: Apr. 8-9, Apr. 25
Trump: Apr. 8, Apr. 29-30
Walker: Apr. 21, Apr. 24-25
Total: 21 visits (34 days)
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
2
3
4
5
6
2
7
2
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
11
17
2*
18
3
19
2
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
2
29
30
31





Bush: May 16
Carson: May 5-6, May 16-17
Fiorina: May 7, May 16
Graham: May 16
Huckabee: May 6-7, May 18-19
Jindal: May 16
Pataki: May 16
Paul: May 16, May 28
Perry: May 16-20*   *[17] ...4 days
Santorum: May 16-18, May 28-29
Trump: May 15-16
Walker: May 16
Total: 17 visits (28 days)
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S

1
2
3
4
5
2
6
7
7

8

9
10
11
2
12
13
14
15
16
17
2
18

19
20
21
22
23
24
2
25
3
26
4
27
3
28
29
30
2
. . .
Bush: Jun. 17
Carson: Jun. 6, Jun. 10-11, Jun. 25-26
Christie: Jun. 11-12
Cruz: Jun. 19-20, Jun. 26-27
Fiorina: Jun. 6
Graham: Jun. 5-6, Jun. 27
Huckabee: Jun. 5-6, Jun. 17, Jun. 24-25, Jun. 30(-Jul.2)
Jindal: Jun. 15, Jun. 26, Jun. 30(-Jul. 4)
Kasich: Jun. 24
Perry: Jun. 6
Rubio: Jun. 6
Santorum: Jun. 8-9, Jun. 25-26
Trump: Jun. 4, Jun. 16, Jun. 27
Walker: Jun. 6-7
Total: 25 visits (37 days).
24 + (2 x .5) visits


2nd Q 15: 63 visits (99 days).
62 + (2 x .5) visits
Huckabee and Santorum put the most time into Iowa in the 2nd Quarter, 12 days each.  At the other extreme were Pataki (1 day), Kasich (1 day), Christie (2 days) and Rubio (2 days).

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Graham
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
Visits: 162
 3
 8
 9
 14 8
 8
 17.5
 13.5
 1
 10
 16
 7
 17
 9 7
Days: 240
 4
 13
 10
 20
 16
 12
 23
 17
 1
 16
 31
 8
 32
 12 10
Tally includes - Brown: 2 visits, 2 days; Portman 1 visit, 2 days; Ryan 3 visits, 3 days; Bolton 1 visit, 1 day; Pence: 1 visit, 1 day; Palin: 3 visits, 3 days; Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day; Pataki 2 visits, 2 days.
Tally does not include - Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days.  Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
___________________________

Republican Visits to New Hampshire in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
2
16
5
17
8
18
13
19
2
20
21
22
23
24

25
26

27
28
29
30
2

Bolton: Apr. 16-18
Bush: Apr. 16-17
Carson: Apr. 6
Christie: Apr. 14-15, Apr. 17
Cruz: Apr. 18-19
Ehrlich: Apr. 11, Apr. 18
Fiorina: Apr. 17-18, Apr. 28(-May 1)
Gilmore: Apr. 16-17, Apr. 30-(May 1)
Graham: Apr. 8-9, Apr. 17-18
Huckabee: Apr. 18
Jindal: Apr. 18
Kasich: Apr. 18
King: Apr. 18
Pataki: Apr. 1-2, Apr. 15-17
Paul: Apr. 7-8, Apr. 18
Perry: Apr. 16-17
Rubio: Apr. 18
Trump: Apr. 18, Apr. 27
Walker: Apr. 18-19
Total: 26 visits (44 days).
(25 + 2 x .5 visits)
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
3
2
3
4
5
6
7
2
8
3
9
10
11
2
12
2
13
14
15
2
16

17

18
2
19

20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
5
30
3
31





Bush: May 20-21
Carson: May 10-11, May 18
Christie: May 7-8, May 12-13, May 18
Cruz: May 29-30
Ehrlich: May 1, May 15, May 29
Fiorina: (Apr. 28-)May 1, May 8-9, May 26
Gilmore: (Apr. 30-)May 1, May 29-30
Graham: May 2-3, May 15
Kasich: May 6
Pataki: May 5, May 28-29
Paul: May 11
Perry: May 7-8
Santorum: May 12
Trump: May 14
Walker: May 29-30
Total: 24 visits (36 days).
(23 + 2 x .5 visits)
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.
1
2
3
4
2
5
3
6
7
3
8
2
9
2
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
2
18
2
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
3
26

27

28

29

30
2



Bush: Jun. 7, Jun. 16
Christie: Jun. 4-5, Jun. 8-9, Jun. 18, Jun. 30(-Jul. 4)
Fiorina: Jun. 8-10
Gilmore: Jun. 18-20
Graham: Jun. 2-3
Jindal: Jun. 1, Jun. 25
Kasich: Jun. 4-5, Jun. 17
Pataki: Jun. 15, Jun. 23-25
Paul: Jun. 5-7
Perry: Jun. 7
Rubio: Jun. 25
Trump: Jun. 17, Jun. 30
 
Total: 19.5 visits (32 days).

2nd Q 15: 69.5 visits (112 days).
68 + (3 x .5) visits
Christie, Fiorina and Pataki put the most time into New Hampshire, 12 days each. At the other extreme were Huckabee (1 day) and Santorum (1 day) and Rubio (2 days).

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Graham
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
Visits: 150.5
 5
 3
 14.5
 8
 12
 7
 4
 7
 5
Days: 225
 8
 4
 20
 14
 20
 12
 4
 8
 7

Pataki
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
 Ehrlich
 Gilmore

12
 10
 7
 6
 2
 8
 3
 9
 9

25
 16
 13
 7
 2
 8
 6
 11
 17
Tally includes -  Portman 3 visits, 4 days; Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; Ryan 1 visit, 1 day; Pence 1 visit, 1 day; Bolton (to 5/14/15) 4 visits, 6 days; King 9 visits, 11 days.  Note King reported 12 visits, sought clarification repeatedly but they were very unresponsive.
Not included in tally: Scarborough 2 visits, 3 days.  Romney 2 visits, 2 days.
___________________________
Republican Visits to South Carolina in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
3
12
13
2
14
15
16
17
18
2
19
20
21
22
23
24

25
26

27

28
29
30

Carson: Apr. 15-16
Cruz: Apr. 3-4
Fiorina: Apr. 13
Huckabee: Apr. 11
Kasich: Apr. 17-18
Paul: Apr. 8-9
Perry: Apr. 6-7
Santorum: Apr. 11, Apr. 18
Trump: Apr. 11, Apr. 13
Total: 11 visits (16 days).
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
3
2
4
3
4
5
6

7

8
4
9
11
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

17

18

19

20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
2
28
29
30
31






Bolton: May 9
Bush: May 2
Carson: May 8-9, May 25-26
Cruz: May 1-2, May 9
Fiorina: May 9, May 27
Huckabee: May 8, May 21
Jindal: May 9
Kasich: May 27
Pataki: May 8-9
Paul: May 29
Perry: May 1-2, May 8-9
Rubio: May 9
Santorum: May 1-2, May 5, May 9, May 30-31
Trump: May 9
Walker: May 9
Total: 23 visits (31 days).
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.
1
2
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2
13
2
14
15
2
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

27

28

29
2
30




Bush: Jun. 29
Christe: Jun. 2-3
Huckabee: Jun. 2, Jun. 12-13
Jindal: Jun. 12-13
Kasich: June 15
Paul: June 15
Perry: Jun. 8
Santorum: Jun. 22, Jun. 29-30

 Total: 10 visits (14 days).

2nd Q 15: 44 visits (61 days).
Santorum put the most time into South Carolina, 11 days, followed by Perry, 7 days, and Carson and Huckabee, at 6 days each.

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
Visits: 104
 5
 6
 4
 10
 4
 10
 7
 4
 9
 11
 5
 16
 5
 3
Days: 134
 6
 9
 5
 13
 4
 12
 9
 6
 11
 19
 5
 20
 5
 4
Tally includes: Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; ; Bolton 2 visits, 2 days. Pataki 2 visits, 3 days;
Tally shows total visits with public events for 2013-15.  Graham, being from SC, is not included in the tally.  Private visits are not included in the tally.  Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently.  Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014.  Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.
DEMOCRATS - 2ND QUARTER 2015
Broadly, none of the candidates stands out in terms of doing more travel to these three early states than the others during this period. 

IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Biden -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
Chafee
 -
 -
 12
 12
 1
 2
 13
 14
Clinton
 3
 7
 3
 4
 2
 2
 8
 13
O'Malley 4
 5
 3
 3
 1
 1
 8
 9
Sanders 2
 6
 5
 6
 1
 2
 8
 14
Webb
 5
 11
 1
 2
 1
 1
 7
 14
Total
 14
 29
 24
 27
 6
 8
 44
 64


Democratic Visits to Iowa in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
 7
8
9
2
10
2
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

25

26
27
28
29
30

Clinton: Apr. 14-16
O'Malley: Apr. 9-10
Webb: Apr. 9-12, Apr. 26-27

Total: 4 visits (11 days)
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
2
3
4
5
6
7

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

17

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
2
31





Clinton: May 18-19
O'Malley: May 30
Sanders: May 28-30
Webb: May 6

Total: 4 visits (7 days).
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
 9
10
11
12
13
2
14
3
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

28
29

30



Clinton: Jun. 13-14
O'Malley: Jun. 11, Jun. 28
Sanders: Jun. 12-14
Webb: Jun. 14-16, Jun. 26

Total: 6 visits (11 days).


2nd Q 15: 14 visits (29 days).
Webb put the most time in Iowa in the 2nd Quarter, 11 days.

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 36
 4
 5
 9
 7
 6
Days: 65
 4
 9
 14
 18
 14
Tally includes: Dean 1 visit 1 day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4 days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1 day.
___________________________

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Democratic Visits to New Hampshire in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
 7
8
9

10

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

25

26
27
28
29
30

Clinton: Apr. 20-21
Sanders: Apr. 18

Total: 2 visits (3 days)
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
2
3
4
5
6
7

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

18

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31






Chafee: May 5, May 6, May 19, May 21, May 26, May 31
Clinton: May 22
O'Malley: May 13, May 31
Sanders: May 2, May 27
Webb: May 15-16

Total: 12 visits (13 days).
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

27
28
29

30



Chafee: Jun. 2, Jun. 4, Jun. 14, Jun. 24, Jun. 25, Jun. 27
Clinton: Jun. 15
O'Malley: Jun. 13
Sanders: Jun. 6, Jun. 27-28

 Total: 10 visits (11 days).

2nd Q 15: 24 visits (27 days).
Chafee accounted for half of all visits by Democratic prospects during this period.  By contrast Webb made only one visit.

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Chafee
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 48
 3
 12
 4
 10
 14
 2
Days: 52
 3
 12
 5
 11
 15
 3
includes: Dean 2 visits, 2 days; Klobuchar 1 visit, 1 day.
___________________________

Democratic Visits to South Carolina in 2nd Quarter 2015
April
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
 7
8
9

10

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Chafee: Apr. 24-25
O'Malley: Apr. 25
Sanders: Apr. 24-25

Total: 3 visits (5 days)
May
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S





1
2
3
4
5
6

7

8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

17

18

19

20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31





Clinton: May 27
Webb: May 23

Total: 2 visits (2 days).
June
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

27

28

29

30



Clinton: Jun. 17

Total: 1 visits (1 day).*

*Biden, Clinton, and O'Malley made non-political visits following the Charleston shootings.

2nd Q 15: 6 visits (8 days).
South Carolina is seeing very little Democratic traffic.

Totals at End of the 2nd Quarter (June 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Chafee
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 20
 5
 1
 2
 6
 4
 2
Days: 23
 5
 2
 2
 6
 6
 2
includes: Dean 1 visit 1 day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4 days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1 day

  this page last revised July 29, 2015
  
    
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